Tuesday, 30 June 2015

Global Great Depression Begins


It is time we reviewed our forecast since inception of this blog in Oct 2014. The forecast has been based on the ebook Forecasting Stock Market Super Bulls (published in Sep 2014). The conclusion of Section 09 says:

[1] The bullish long term aspect [Uranus Sesquare Saturn] covers early Dec 2014 to early Dec 2015.

[2] The strong rise should start earlier, from mid Nov 2014 because a bullish Mars feature underpins the market.

[3] But there is a sharp dip from the last week of Dec 2014 for about 4 weeks.

[4] The stock market then surges to June 2015.

[5] In 2015 Q3, the bullish influence of [Uranus Sesquare Saturn] is compromised by more powerful Jupiter and Jupiter Trojans. CIT (Change in trend) from up to down should commence in July 2015 or at the latest from early Aug 2015.

[6] There are detrimental features lurking in the background. The booming stock market is over.

DJIA’s historical peak is 18,312 (close) on 19 May 2015.
 
Nasdaq’s historical peak is 5,160 (close) on 23 June 2015, surpassing 5,048 registered on 10 Mar 2000.



Our forecast is better reflected in the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index (SSEC), with a peak of 5,166 on 12 June 2015.

Forecast (for 6 years) beyond June 2015 is found in my free ebook Global Great Depression (July 2015-Jan 2021)

Collapse of SSEC in the 2nd half of June 2015 ushers in a Global Great Depression.




Updating:

Thursday, 25 June 2015

Jupiter family & Bond yield


Jupiter family members are:

[i] Planet Jupiter (Jupiter is mother of all crises).

[ii] Jupiter Trojans (2 groups of tiny asteroids along Jupiter’s orbit)
      Group #1 Jupiter Fore Trojans (Jup FT) 600 in front of Jupiter.
      Group #2 Jupiter Aft Trojans (Jup AT) 600 behind Jupiter.

[iii] Ceres (the biggest rock in the Asteroid Belt).

An active Ceres causes bond yield to rise (bond price falls). There are 2 scenarios to make Ceres potentially destructive:

Scenario One
Ceres is at hard angle (00, 450, 1350 or 1800) with a planet.
Scenario Two
Ceres is at hard angle to Jupiter Trojans (to Jup FT or to Jup AT).

Ceres needs Trigger Action to make it active so Ceres can inflict harm to the market - to set off a falling bond market (with bond yield spiking).

We’ll use 2 examples for illustration.

First study the Ceres-centered Graph. The Graph is plotted with Ceres at centre, while other planets move on either side of Ceres. 
We note Chiron and Ceres stays at 450 most of the times in Apr-July 2015. There are 2 occasions of exact [Chiron 45 Ceres] or [K Semi-square Ceres]:

      Occasion (1) End Apr-early May 2015
      Occasion (2) End June-early July 2015
During these 2 exact periods, should Ceres be agitated, bond yield (or interest rate) rises and bonds fall significantly.

Powerful Trigger Action on Ceres can be achieved by Sun and Venus acting concertedly to “hit” Jupiter (parent of Ceres).


EXAMPLE (1) PAST - GERMAN BUND CRASH (30 Apr to 07 May 2015)
Three (3) negative features occurring at the same time cause the sharp rise in bond yield.
Negative #1
Fri 24 Apr 2015 [Chiron Semi-square Ceres] becomes exact. This aspect is most effective from mid Apr 2015 to early May 2015.

Negative #2 (Further stress on Ceres)
Sat 25 Apr 2015 @18:24 [Sun Square Ceres].

Negative #3 (Concerted attack on Jupiter)
Agitation on Jupiter by concerted Trigger actions from Sun and Venus:
      Mon 04 May 2015 @09:03 Jupiter Square Sun. Square = 900.
      Wed 06 May 2015 @20:40 Jupiter Semi-square Venus. Semi-square = 450.

Jupiter and Ceres are intensely agitated by Negative #1 #2 and #3. European bond prices nose-dive.

Negative #3 is graphically illustrated in the Jupiter-centered Color Ephemeris below. The point marked with a black number (1) shows Jupiter is attacked (in early May 2015) by fast-moving Sun (red line) and by Venus (green dot).


The German bund crisis is mirrored by the sharp yield rise of 10-year T-Note as indicated below:
 
EXAMPLE (2) FUTURE – LOOMING CRISIS

Three (3) negative features occurring at the same time cause bond yield to rise sharply. 

Negative #1
03 July 2015 @12:28 [Chiron Semi-square Ceres] becomes exact. This aspect is most effective from end June 2015 to mid July 2015.

Negative #2 (Further stress on Ceres)
Fri 3 July 2015
@12:27 [Chiron Semi-square Ceres]. Semi-square = 450.
@14:52 [Mercury Sesquare Ceres]. Sesquare = 1350.
@15:07 [Mercury Square Chiron]. Square = 900.
Sat 4 July 2015
@00:14 [Jupiter 60 Mercury] which is [Jup AT Conjunction Mercury].

Ceres and Jup AT are linked up and made harmful to the bond market.

For more information, refer to my post Dirge 2 of Fri 19 June 2015.

Negative #3 (Concerted attack on Jupiter)
Agitation on Jupiter by concerted Trigger actions of Sun and Venus:
      Sat 27 June 2015 @23:54 Jupiter Semi-square Sun. Square = 450.
      Wed 01 July 2015 @07:52 Jupiter Conjunction Venus.

Jupiter, Ceres and Jup AT are intensely agitated by Negative #1 #2 and #3. Bond prices should fall sharply (Bond yield should rise significantly).

Note however that the extremely deleterious crisis is reserved for Aug-Sep 2015 (en masse exodus of Treasury bonds by institutional investors) when bonds collapse.

For more details, read my free ebook:Global Great Depression (July 2015-Jan 2021).


Friday, 19 June 2015

Bond yield (Interest rate) will soar

Despite anticipation of FED rate moderate increase to start in Sep 2015, my analysis indicates interest rate will soar in Aug 2015 (latest) owing to market forces (liquidation of bonds). Forget the FED.

Here's my portfolio:

Dirge 2 Ceres & Jupiter


I observe in the last post that Ceres (when agitated) is sharply bearish on China stocks. My observation is vindicated in the performance of Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index (SSEC) which falls 13% for the week ended 19 June 2015.

In early July 2015 Ceres is “afflicted**” by Chiron as well as by Mercury (Refer to the listing of The New American Ephemeris 2007-2020):
** Notes
When a planet is “afflicted”, that planet (bearish planet or asteroid) is stressed by hard angle(s) with other planets. A hard angle is 00, 450, 900, 1350 or 1800. An afflicted planet will readily express its bearish (negative) influence upon further stimulation.




Fri 3 July 2015
@12:27 [Chiron Semi-square Ceres]. Semi-square = 450.
@14:52 [Mercury Sesquare Ceres]. Sesquare = 1350.
@15:07 [Mercury Square Chiron]. Square = 900.

Add one more aspect of early next morning to the afflicted Ceres:
Sat 4 July 2015
@00:14 [Jupiter 60 Mercury] which is [Jup AT Conjunction Mercury].

Jupiter Aft Trojans (Jup AT) are 600 behind planet Jupiter -- Jup AT and Mercury meet at the same longitudinal degree, which is [Jup AT Conjunction Mercury]. Jup AT are “afflicted” by Mercury.


As Mercury links up with Ceres and with Chiron, Jup AT affliction becomes extremely severe – Jup AT are afflicted by Mercury, by Ceres and by Chiron. Both bearish Jup AT and bearish Ceres become active, and they are ready to devastate the China stock market.

The bearish configurations need be aroused to inflict harm on the market. Arousal of their sharply bearish influence is (in present case) by fast planets, i.e. by Sun, by Venus, and by Moon.

In addition to Jup AT serious affliction, Jupiter (mother of all crises) is brutally afflicted also, as seen on the Jupiter-centered Color Ephemeris.
[N. Node Semi-square Jupiter] makes a strongly stimulated Jupiter.
Then Jupiter is attacked by jointly by Sun and by Venus:

Sat 27 June 2015 [Jupiter Semi-square Sun]. Semi-square = 450.
Wed 01 July 2015 [Jupiter Conjunction Venus].

Jupiter is savagely attacked and it is de-stabilized. Jupiter oscillates wildly.

Since Jup Aft Trojans (Jup AT) are siblings of Jupiter, a wildly oscillating Jupiter indirectly de-stabilizes Jup AT (which are already under severe affliction).

Refer again to the daily listings of The New American Ephemeris for Moon transits:

Thu 02 July 2015
@02:21 Full Moon
@22:47 [Jupiter 150 Moon] which is [Jup AT Square Moon]
NB: Full Moon makes Jup AT de-stabilization more effective.

Fri 03 July 2015
@23:09 [Ceres Conjunction Moon]
@23:16 [Chiron Semi-square Moon]. Semi-square = 450.

 

Thus the Moon at the same time has de-stabilized Jup AT and Ceres.

 

To sum up:

[1] In end June 2015
        Bearish Jupiter is de-stabilized by joint efforts of the Sun and Venus.

        Bearish Jup AT and Ceres are indirectly de-stabilized.

[2] In early July 2015
        Jup AT and Ceres are directly de-stabilized by Moon.

 

All the bearish planets (including asteroids) are thoroughly de-stabilized. The Sun-Jupiter System is knocked off balance. Stocks plunge.

 

End June-early July 2015 marks the commencement of the Global Great Depression.

 

Friday, 12 June 2015

Dirge 1 Ceres & Chiron

Two Index charts are appended. For the Great Depression to really happen, the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite (SSEC) Index should collapse. But SSEC seems able to defy the law of gravity.

We therefore look for configurations harmful to SSEC causing it to tumble. One of the situations is a strongly energized negative Ceres.

In my post of 11 Dec 2014 CERES& MUSIC, I explain the collapse of SSEC on 9 Dec 2014 being the outcome of an agitated Ceres, which please review.

T
he Asteroid Belt (between Mars and Jupiter) is populated by myriads of tiny asteroids. The largest asteroid is Ceres, taking up about 1/3 of the entire mass of the Asteroid Belt.


Ceres
is a bearish (negative) asteroid with diameter of 950 kilometers (Comparison: the Moon’s diameter is 3,474 km. The diameter of Ceres is 27% of that of the Moon). Ceres revolves around the Sun once in 4.6 Earth years.

Chiron is a Minor planet between Saturn and Uranus. It is discovered on 18 Oct 1977. Its diameter is about 180 km (19% of that of Ceres, or 5% of that of the Moon). Chiron revolves around the Sun once in 50.76 Earth years.

Chiron is very tiny compared with other planets. Its influence (according to my research) is faintly bullish. For analysis, we can regard Chiron as neutral. In this post, we scrutinize Ceres which (when intensely agitated) is sharply bearish on China’s stocks.

To find the locations of Ceres and Chiron, look up The New American Ephemeris (2007-2020). From this Ephemeris, I’ve plotted a Graph below, with Ceres at the centre of the Graph (while other planets move on either side of Ceres).

As seen from the Graph, Ceres is heavily stressed in mid June 2015:
   By Chiron (“K”) at 450 in front of Ceres
   By Sun (Circle) 1350 in front of Ceres
   By Venus (“V”) at its Opposition of 1800.

Moon transits bring out the bearish influence of Ceres, and stocks (especially China’s stocks) plunge. The lunar transits are:
Tue 16 June 2015
@07:41 Moon Square Chiron. Square = 900.
@11:32 Moon Sesquare Ceres. Sesquare = 1350.
@14:03 Venus Semi-square Ceres. Semi-square = 450.
@14:07 Sun Conjunction Moon (New Moon).

Stocks should fall sharply on Tue 16 June 2015.

Ceres continues to exert pressure on the market in 2nd half of June 2015.

In the next post, we will discuss Ceres becoming more bearish, at end June-early July 2015 (which is the commencement of the Global Great Depression).

Wednesday, 10 June 2015

Global Great Depression

I've just published an ebook detailing an imminent Great Depression of 5 years and 7 months. It is more serious than the Depression of 1930s. It is published at Smashwords and is free for download:

Global Great Depression (July 2015 - Jan 2021).

The stock market should fall before July 2015.

To make this blog more informative, I put aside US$30,000 to invest in financial instruments to demonstrate how to put theory into practice. Here is my investment portfolio:

The positions are medium term speculation.

Don't follow.  Always consult your competent investment adviser in your region.

I will discuss why I am so bearish on the China stocks in my next post.

Friday, 5 June 2015

Critical juncture

Despite expectation of a rising market in early June, DJIA has fallen from a peak of 18,312 (close on 19 May 2015) to 17,849 (close on 5 June 2015) which is a loss of 2.1/2%. We have probably arrived at a critical juncture (boom to bust). Stocks have been climbing sharply for more than 6 years after the Financial Meltdown, and the cheerful party is expected to end. We need one more week to observe the market before confirming whether a Big Bear has eventually arrived.

Our bullish stance for a rising stock market in early June 2015 is based on 2 bullish configurations:





Bull #1 Long term [Uranus Sesquare Saturn] which is marked on Solar Chart 2015-06-02.

Bull #2 Melody Formation, whose bullish influence to be aroused by a full Moon on 2 June 2015.

But stocks on 2 June 2015 fails to rally (it is static). There must be a strong negative current to off-set the bullish influence.





The negative influence is explained on the 2 Solar Charts below.

LEFT Solar Chart 2015-06-02 says the Earth is 450 (a hard angle) in front of bearish Jupiter Fore Trojans (Jup FT). On Full Moon day (which involves Earth) the influences aroused are BOTH bullish (Melody) and bearish (Jup FT). Sweet Music is adulterated by noise. Opposite forces cancel out each other, resulting in a flat day on 2 June 2015.


On RIGHT Solar Chart 2015-06-02 is drawn a Jupiter 90D Triangle.

Saturn.Jupiter.Neptune = 900.

The Triangle is not exact but small deviation from exact 900 is allowable.

As Jupiter (a bearish super Giant) is at the vertex of the Triangle, bearish influence prevails. This Triangle has just become effective. The deviation will narrow over time, and the Jupiter 90D Triangle will become more harmful.


In the past week, most markets sag except Chinese stocks which scale dizzying new heights (Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index passes 5,000). Our job is to find out when Chinese stocks will bust to enable us to pin-point the termination of the aging bull. There are special planetary patterns that affect the Chinese stocks, and we will investigate. 

The findings will be published within 1 week. 

A forecast of US stock market for the next 6 years will also be published.